This week, trend-followers faced a more complex landscape as energy markets surged while metals reversed recent gains. Volatility collapsed, with the VIX plunging 6.57%, signaling a shift in risk sentiment. The TTU Trend Barometer dipped to 32% (down from 52% last week), reflecting softer trend-following conditions.

SG Trend Index Performance:

• MTD: -0.52% (vs. -1.30% last week)
• YTD: -3.55% (vs. -4.31% last week)

Key Market Highlights:

• Crude Oil (+3.96%) – Geopolitical risks & OPEC+ supply constraints fueled a strong rebound.
• Orange Juice (+5.09%) – Technical retracement after a steep decline.
• Platinum (-3.24%) – Weak industrial demand & global growth concerns pressured prices.
• Copper (+4.24%) – Supply shortages & infrastructure demand kept the uptrend intact.
• Cotton (-3.00%) – Rising stockpiles & weak textile demand weighed on sentiment.
• Natural Gas (-3.41%) – Record-high production & milder weather pressured prices.

Trend-Following Insights:
Markets are oscillating between trending and mean-reverting behaviors, demanding discipline and adaptability from systematic traders. With the VIX collapsing and energy rebounding, new trend-following opportunities may emerge, but divergence across asset classes remains a key theme.

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Stay systematic. Stay disciplined. Stay ready.