This Week in Trend: Still in the Fog – Balance Without Breakout” 2 May 2025
Markets calmed. Equities held firm. Natural gas surged.
But the trend-following terrain remains uncertain. This wasn’t acceleration—it was adaptation.
SG Trend Index Performance:
• MTD: -0.40% (vs. -5.72% last week)
• YTD: -9.69% (vs. -10.11% last week)
Drawdown pressure eased slightly. Progress, but still fragile footing.
TTU Trend Barometer:
• 48% — Weak Neutral
• 10-day rate-of-change: Falling
Trend strength improved, but momentum is cooling. Stability, not signal strength, defines the moment.
Key Market Highlights:
• Natural Gas: +17.76% – Volatility cuts both ways. This week, it cut upward.
• DAX / Nasdaq 100: +3.8%, +3.43% – Equities held ground across regions
• Cocoa / Coffee: -5.09%, -4.31% – Soft commodity leaders cracked
• Crude Oil (WTI): -7.36% – Energy reversed sharply
• VIX: -3.82% – Volatility still unwinding
Trend-Following Insight:
The environment is quieter—but not clearer.
Equity exposure worked. Commodities rotated. Softs stumbled. Energy reversed.
No dominant regime. Just fragments of opportunity—shifting, uncertain, but forming.
Full Report Available
This week’s full edition includes:
• Updated trend barometer
• Asset class rotation
• Top market movers
• Portfolio insights and forward-looking reflections
Click here to read the full report!
Stay steady. Stay ready. The edge belongs to those who endure.