Out of Equilibrium The Santa Fe Revolution That’s Reshaping Finance Watch the Episode SERIES OVERVIEW Why do trends exist? For a trend follower, this is the fundamental question. For decades, much of mainstream financial theory struggled to explain why persistent...
Every field has a vocabulary, and the vocabulary matters more than it looks. Terms like attractor, ergodicity, phase transition and power law are not decorative imports from physics. They are the precise language required to describe things classical finance cannot...
“Time and again, our work is judged by instruments built for a different game and against objectives we never chose. This is a long look at what actually separates the classic trend follower from the rest of the investment world,...
The Zero Beneath the Zero: What We Found When We Looked Beneath the Most Quoted Statistic in Finance Phase 1 proved the fingerprint exists. Phase 2 investigates what the fingerprint does. The answer changes how you think about markets, trend-following,...
Markets Are Not Random: The Fractals of Finance Nine episodes. Sixty-eight markets. Forty-one years of data. The most fundamental assumption in modern finance, tested directly. The answer is no. Watch the Episode SERIES OVERVIEW This Dispatch walks through The Fractals...
The Natural History of Markets: A Field Guide to Finance as a Living System A ten-part series that examines markets the way a naturalist examines an ecosystem — and what it means for how you think about edge, survival, and...
The Deep Structure of Markets: How Markets Actually Work — And What It Means for How You Trade A twelve-part series on the invisible geometry beneath market behaviour, and the framework it gives traders for seeing what others miss. Watch...
Why position sizing in pure trend following is determinate, once the domain of the question is properly drawn. Carlo Zarattini published a thoughtful piece earlier this week on position sizing in trend following. He compared three approaches against the same...
The Mechanics of Complexity: Why Markets Evolve the Way They Do A six-part series on the forces behind Complex Adaptive Systems, and what they mean for how you trade. Watch the Episode SERIES OVERVIEW This Dispatch walks through A Journey...
A conversation has been circulating in the managed futures community recently, and it deserves closer examination. The argument runs something like this: broad diversification across hundreds of markets delivers diminishing returns, short-term models are a drag on performance, risk controls...
