The Barometer held. The returns caught up. This was a week in which the same amount of trend did a great deal more work. The TTU Trend Barometer held at 55 percent, unchanged from last week and at the threshold...
“A portfolio is not paid for the size of the moves around it. It is paid for the share of them it was already holding, and the two can point in opposite directions for weeks at a time.” About This...
The quietest week produced the strongest trend reading This was a much quieter week than the last. It may also have been a much better one for trend followers. The TTU Trend Barometer added another 5 points to reach 55...
Commodities rallied together, equities paused, and the Barometer completed a round trip the market did not The TTU Trend Barometer jumped 11 points to 50 percent this week, its largest single week gain of the current sequence and enough to...
The Trends That Would Not Hold July was not a quiet month. Markets moved. Some moved violently. Trends appeared, strengthened and, in several cases, looked as though they might finally provide trend followers with something meaningful to work with. Then...
Introduction Systematic trend following posted a second consecutive negative month in July 2026. The benchmark fell -1.24 percent, almost identical to June’s -1.26 percent. The headline numbers look the same. The path could hardly have been more different. June was...
When Movement Refuses to Become Trend June was the month of the turn. July was the month when almost nothing stayed turned. For the second consecutive month, every benchmark in the Battle of the Trend Following Indexes finished negative. But...
Global futures markets delivered a more selective week to Friday 14 August. Energy led at plus 5.33 percent, with all six contracts higher. Heating Oil surged 9.75 percent, Gasoline RBOB 6.66 percent, Brent 5.95 percent and WTI 5.40 percent, sharply...
“An improving environment and a paying one are not the same thing.“ Trend Following Weekly Report Global futures markets turned upward almost everywhere in the week to Friday 7 August. Metals led at plus 6.52 percent with all five contracts...
“The trend that breaks a portfolio in one month is often the one that pays it in the next; the reversal and the opportunity are the same event seen at two scales.” Fractals of Finance About This Report The ATS...
